Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.001777 0.001855 0.001937 0.002028 0.002127 0.002233 0.002355
2025-06-29 0.001627 0.001734 0.001851 0.001987 0.002144 0.002321 0.002537
2025-07-06 0.001531 0.001658 0.001799 0.001971 0.002176 0.002419 0.002734
2025-07-13 0.001424 0.001557 0.001709 0.001898 0.002131 0.002416 0.002801
2025-07-20 0.001370 0.001513 0.001679 0.001891 0.002160 0.002500 0.002983
2025-07-27 0.001334 0.001487 0.001667 0.001903 0.002211 0.002615 0.003218
2025-08-03 0.001291 0.001449 0.001638 0.001889 0.002225 0.002680 0.003387
2025-08-10 0.001266 0.001431 0.001632 0.001904 0.002277 0.002799 0.003652
2025-08-17 0.001233 0.001401 0.001609 0.001894 0.002292 0.002865 0.003843
2025-08-24 0.001199 0.001369 0.001580 0.001874 0.002291 0.002907 0.003997
2025-08-31 0.001191 0.001369 0.001593 0.001910 0.002373 0.003081 0.004415
2025-09-07 0.001172 0.001354 0.001586 0.001918 0.002412 0.003192 0.004739
2025-09-14 0.001144 0.001325 0.001559 0.001898 0.002411 0.003239 0.004952
2025-09-21 0.001113 0.001294 0.001528 0.001870 0.002395 0.003258 0.005111
2025-09-28 0.001090 0.001272 0.001509 0.001858 0.002403 0.003320 0.005380
2025-10-05 0.001051 0.001226 0.001455 0.001795 0.002324 0.003218 0.005245
2025-10-12 0.001033 0.001209 0.001441 0.001788 0.002337 0.003286 0.005541
2025-10-19 0.001022 0.001202 0.001440 0.001799 0.002379 0.003413 0.006029
2025-10-26 0.001005 0.001184 0.001423 0.001787 0.002381 0.003463 0.006323
2025-11-02 0.000996 0.001178 0.001423 0.001800 0.002427 0.003605 0.006952
2025-11-09 0.000981 0.001163 0.001409 0.001791 0.002433 0.003666 0.007352
2025-11-16 0.000963 0.001144 0.001390 0.001773 0.002423 0.003690 0.007637
2025-11-23 0.000962 0.001148 0.001403 0.001806 0.002505 0.003927 0.008886